Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.028970 0.031219 0.033473 0.035896 0.038424 0.040982 0.043762
2025-10-05 0.025435 0.029037 0.032768 0.036907 0.041355 0.045977 0.051129
2025-10-12 0.022747 0.027097 0.031716 0.036952 0.042692 0.048763 0.055641
2025-10-19 0.020634 0.025518 0.030813 0.036927 0.043741 0.051051 0.059442
2025-10-26 0.019500 0.024889 0.030837 0.037807 0.045676 0.054216 0.064115
2025-11-02 0.018098 0.023838 0.030282 0.037943 0.046701 0.056306 0.067543
2025-11-09 0.016772 0.022779 0.029635 0.037900 0.047457 0.058040 0.070526
2025-11-16 0.015554 0.021768 0.028978 0.037782 0.048073 0.059572 0.073242
2025-11-23 0.014388 0.020752 0.028255 0.037533 0.048493 0.060842 0.075630
2025-11-30 0.013411 0.019913 0.027696 0.037435 0.049051 0.062241 0.078139
2025-12-07 0.012265 0.018801 0.026755 0.036834 0.048978 0.062880 0.079749
2025-12-14 0.011175 0.017703 0.025783 0.036152 0.048770 0.063331 0.081115
2025-12-21 0.009974 0.016446 0.024621 0.035270 0.048379 0.063644 0.082427
2025-12-28 0.009656 0.016362 0.024949 0.036245 0.050257 0.066669 0.086959
2026-01-04 0.008978 0.015744 0.024557 0.036291 0.050981 0.068307 0.089849
2026-01-11 0.008327 0.015124 0.024131 0.036267 0.051596 0.069801 0.092558
2026-01-18 0.008074 0.015051 0.024412 0.037136 0.053312 0.072613 0.096834
2026-01-25 0.007566 0.014578 0.024138 0.037271 0.054099 0.074297 0.099761
2026-02-01 0.007031 0.014034 0.023742 0.037228 0.054648 0.075681 0.102322
2026-02-08 0.006509 0.013479 0.023306 0.037111 0.055088 0.076920 0.104701
2026-02-15 0.005983 0.012883 0.022788 0.036866 0.055346 0.077925 0.106789
2026-02-22 0.005541 0.012391 0.022396 0.036769 0.055782 0.079139 0.109123
2026-03-01 0.004983 0.011674 0.021652 0.036174 0.055556 0.079519 0.110431